Trader consensus reflects a dead-even split at 49.5% implied probability each for exactly 9 first-round trades or 10+ in the 2026 NFL Draft, underscoring the unpredictable dynamics as Round 1 approaches. Adam Schefter's April 20 intel highlights more teams seeking trade-downs than trade-ups, suggesting fewer deals than recent drafts averaging 5.5 from 2016-2025 (e.g., four in 2025), yet persistent rumors of aggressive maneuvers—Cowboys, Chiefs, Eagles, and Saints eyeing jumps for edge rushers like Arvell Reese or Jeremiyah Love, Jets and Lions targeting QBs such as Ty Simpson—could trigger cascading activity. Historical peaks near 10 trades, mid-round draft order clustering, and real-time board falls maintain the tight competition between these outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Pro Football Draft: No. of first round trades?
2026 Pro Football Draft: No. of first round trades?
$637 Vol.
$637 Vol.
24 abr 2026
9
51%
10+
50%
$637 Vol.
$637 Vol.
24 abr 2026
9
$100 Vol.
51%
10+
$23 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the number of 2026 first round picks traded between teams from the opening of this market to the conclusion of the first round of the 2026 NFL draft.
Each trade including a 2026 first round pick will be considered. If a pick is traded more than once, each trade will be separately counted toward the resolution total.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many first round picks have been exchanged by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the trading teams; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a dead-even split at 49.5% implied probability each for exactly 9 first-round trades or 10+ in the 2026 NFL Draft, underscoring the unpredictable dynamics as Round 1 approaches. Adam Schefter's April 20 intel highlights more teams seeking trade-downs than trade-ups, suggesting fewer deals than recent drafts averaging 5.5 from 2016-2025 (e.g., four in 2025), yet persistent rumors of aggressive maneuvers—Cowboys, Chiefs, Eagles, and Saints eyeing jumps for edge rushers like Arvell Reese or Jeremiyah Love, Jets and Lions targeting QBs such as Ty Simpson—could trigger cascading activity. Historical peaks near 10 trades, mid-round draft order clustering, and real-time board falls maintain the tight competition between these outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of 2026 first round picks traded between teams from the opening of this market to the conclusion of the first round of the 2026 NFL draft.
Each trade including a 2026 first round pick will be considered. If a pick is traded more than once, each trade will be separately counted toward the resolution total.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many first round picks have been exchanged by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the trading teams; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each trade including a 2026 first round pick will be considered. If a pick is traded more than once, each trade will be separately counted toward the resolution total.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many first round picks have been exchanged by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the trading teams; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Volumen
$637Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of 2026 first round picks traded between teams from the opening of this market to the conclusion of the first round of the 2026 NFL draft.
Each trade including a 2026 first round pick will be considered. If a pick is traded more than once, each trade will be separately counted toward the resolution total.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many first round picks have been exchanged by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the trading teams; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a dead-even split at 49.5% implied probability each for exactly 9 first-round trades or 10+ in the 2026 NFL Draft, underscoring the unpredictable dynamics as Round 1 approaches. Adam Schefter's April 20 intel highlights more teams seeking trade-downs than trade-ups, suggesting fewer deals than recent drafts averaging 5.5 from 2016-2025 (e.g., four in 2025), yet persistent rumors of aggressive maneuvers—Cowboys, Chiefs, Eagles, and Saints eyeing jumps for edge rushers like Arvell Reese or Jeremiyah Love, Jets and Lions targeting QBs such as Ty Simpson—could trigger cascading activity. Historical peaks near 10 trades, mid-round draft order clustering, and real-time board falls maintain the tight competition between these outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of 2026 first round picks traded between teams from the opening of this market to the conclusion of the first round of the 2026 NFL draft.
Each trade including a 2026 first round pick will be considered. If a pick is traded more than once, each trade will be separately counted toward the resolution total.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many first round picks have been exchanged by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the trading teams; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each trade including a 2026 first round pick will be considered. If a pick is traded more than once, each trade will be separately counted toward the resolution total.
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled, not completed, or it cannot be determined how many first round picks have been exchanged by May 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the trading teams; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$637Fecha de finalización
24 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 3:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a dead-even split at 49.5% implied probability each for exactly 9 first-round trades or 10+ in the 2026 NFL Draft, underscoring the unpredictable dynamics as Round 1 approaches. Adam Schefter's April 20 intel highlights more teams seeking trade-downs than trade-ups, suggesting fewer deals than recent drafts averaging 5.5 from 2016-2025 (e.g., four in 2025), yet persistent rumors of aggressive maneuvers—Cowboys, Chiefs, Eagles, and Saints eyeing jumps for edge rushers like Arvell Reese or Jeremiyah Love, Jets and Lions targeting QBs such as Ty Simpson—could trigger cascading activity. Historical peaks near 10 trades, mid-round draft order clustering, and real-time board falls maintain the tight competition between these outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes