Trader consensus favors France at 16.3% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, closely trailed by Spain (15.3%) and England (11.1%), reflecting razor-thin separations atop the latest FIFA men's rankings where France edges Spain, Argentina, and England as the top four. With all 48 teams now qualified after UEFA playoffs concluded in late March—Italy's shock penalty exit to Bosnia opening paths for Sweden, Czechia, Turkey, and others—and intercontinental finals like DR Congo over Jamaica, elite contenders advanced unscathed through qualifiers. Recent March friendlies, including France's 2-1 win over Brazil via Mbappé, bolstered momentum, while the final draw separates top seeds until semifinals, heightening knockout competitiveness amid deep squads and no major injury disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 16.3%
España 15.3%
Inglaterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$869,472,586 Vol.
$869,472,586 Vol.
Francia
16%
España
15%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haití
<1%
Irán
<1%
Francia 16.3%
España 15.3%
Inglaterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$869,472,586 Vol.
$869,472,586 Vol.
Francia
16%
España
15%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haití
<1%
Irán
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors France at 16.3% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, closely trailed by Spain (15.3%) and England (11.1%), reflecting razor-thin separations atop the latest FIFA men's rankings where France edges Spain, Argentina, and England as the top four. With all 48 teams now qualified after UEFA playoffs concluded in late March—Italy's shock penalty exit to Bosnia opening paths for Sweden, Czechia, Turkey, and others—and intercontinental finals like DR Congo over Jamaica, elite contenders advanced unscathed through qualifiers. Recent March friendlies, including France's 2-1 win over Brazil via Mbappé, bolstered momentum, while the final draw separates top seeds until semifinals, heightening knockout competitiveness amid deep squads and no major injury disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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