With qualifiers wrapped in early April and the 48-team field set, France leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability after March's commanding 4-0 qualifier win over Ukraine and 2-1 friendly victory against Brazil via Mbappé's opener, highlighting unmatched squad depth and form. Spain sits tight at 15.3% on Euro 2024 pedigree, Lamine Yamal's emergence, and flawless late qualifiers like 2-0 over Georgia. England (11.1%) benefits from steady results such as 2-0 versus Serbia, while defending champions Argentina and Brazil (both 8.6%) leverage CONMEBOL dominance and five-time winner legacy despite Brazil's qualifier struggles, in a volatile expanded format with 12 groups feeding third-place playoffs into knockouts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 16.0%
España 15.3%
Inglaterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$953,323,486 Vol.
$953,323,486 Vol.
20 jul 2026
Francia
16%
España
15%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haití
<1%
Irán
<1%
Francia 16.0%
España 15.3%
Inglaterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$953,323,486 Vol.
$953,323,486 Vol.
20 jul 2026
Francia
$26,560,910 Vol.
16%
España
$18,696,799 Vol.
15%
Inglaterra
$15,046,064 Vol.
11%
Argentina
$16,374,784 Vol.
9%
Brasil
$17,103,753 Vol.
9%
Portugal
$17,176,121 Vol.
7%
Alemania
$14,364,394 Vol.
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
$16,415,890 Vol.
3%
Noruega
$15,236,674 Vol.
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
$18,331,830 Vol.
2%
Bélgica
$14,748,981 Vol.
2%
Marruecos
$18,361,858 Vol.
2%
Colombia
$13,846,877 Vol.
2%
USA
$30,371,607 Vol.
2%
Uruguay
$15,319,927 Vol.
1%
México
$16,720,912 Vol.
1%
Croacia
$17,493,791 Vol.
1%
Suiza
$14,230,727 Vol.
1%
Ecuador
$18,337,113 Vol.
1%
Senegal
$16,342,715 Vol.
1%
Canadá
$24,634,663 Vol.
1%
Turquía
$8,067,537 Vol.
1%
Austria
$16,825,411 Vol.
1%
Suecia
$8,196,518 Vol.
1%
Corea del Sur
$21,758,591 Vol.
<1%
Paraguay
$17,991,434 Vol.
<1%
Costa de Marfil
$23,268,217 Vol.
<1%
Egipto
$25,299,708 Vol.
<1%
Argelia
$23,198,287 Vol.
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$12,284,776 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
$16,783,772 Vol.
<1%
Túnez
$23,700,844 Vol.
<1%
Chequia
$8,871,921 Vol.
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
$29,985,367 Vol.
<1%
Jordania
$26,978,744 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
$36,810,554 Vol.
<1%
Ghana
$16,134,468 Vol.
<1%
Uzbekistán
$39,516,840 Vol.
<1%
Panamá
$14,478,866 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$14,709,432 Vol.
<1%
Sudáfrica
$25,351,204 Vol.
<1%
RD del Congo
$16,364,901 Vol.
<1%
Cabo Verde
$23,911,494 Vol.
<1%
Qatar
$26,059,340 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$22,176,158 Vol.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$27,345,501 Vol.
<1%
Haití
$16,355,209 Vol.
<1%
Irán
$26,253,136 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With qualifiers wrapped in early April and the 48-team field set, France leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability after March's commanding 4-0 qualifier win over Ukraine and 2-1 friendly victory against Brazil via Mbappé's opener, highlighting unmatched squad depth and form. Spain sits tight at 15.3% on Euro 2024 pedigree, Lamine Yamal's emergence, and flawless late qualifiers like 2-0 over Georgia. England (11.1%) benefits from steady results such as 2-0 versus Serbia, while defending champions Argentina and Brazil (both 8.6%) leverage CONMEBOL dominance and five-time winner legacy despite Brazil's qualifier struggles, in a volatile expanded format with 12 groups feeding third-place playoffs into knockouts.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$953,323,486Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With qualifiers wrapped in early April and the 48-team field set, France leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability after March's commanding 4-0 qualifier win over Ukraine and 2-1 friendly victory against Brazil via Mbappé's opener, highlighting unmatched squad depth and form. Spain sits tight at 15.3% on Euro 2024 pedigree, Lamine Yamal's emergence, and flawless late qualifiers like 2-0 over Georgia. England (11.1%) benefits from steady results such as 2-0 versus Serbia, while defending champions Argentina and Brazil (both 8.6%) leverage CONMEBOL dominance and five-time winner legacy despite Brazil's qualifier struggles, in a volatile expanded format with 12 groups feeding third-place playoffs into knockouts.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$953,323,486Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With qualifiers wrapped in early April and the 48-team field set, France leads trader consensus at 16% implied probability after March's commanding 4-0 qualifier win over Ukraine and 2-1 friendly victory against Brazil via Mbappé's opener, highlighting unmatched squad depth and form. Spain sits tight at 15.3% on Euro 2024 pedigree, Lamine Yamal's emergence, and flawless late qualifiers like 2-0 over Georgia. England (11.1%) benefits from steady results such as 2-0 versus Serbia, while defending champions Argentina and Brazil (both 8.6%) leverage CONMEBOL dominance and five-time winner legacy despite Brazil's qualifier struggles, in a volatile expanded format with 12 groups feeding third-place playoffs into knockouts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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