Trader consensus on the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner reflects a tightly contested field, with France edging Spain at 16% and 15.3% implied probabilities amid recent injury blows to key stars across top contenders. Spain faces uncertainty over Lamine Yamal's fitness after he was ruled out for the club season's remainder, while Brazil loses Rodrygo to a cruciate ligament tear, England misses Jack Grealish with a stress fracture, and France copes without Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles injury—highlighting squad depth as pivotal in the expanded 48-team format. All nations qualified post-March international window results, and the group draw separates FIFA top-ranked sides like Spain, Argentina, France, and England until semifinals, fostering competitive knockout paths and minimal home advantage for hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico. Recent friendlies showed mixed form, underscoring upset potential in group stage advancement and beyond.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 16.0%
España 15.3%
Inglaterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$953,302,448 Vol.
$953,302,448 Vol.
Francia
16%
España
15%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haití
<1%
Irán
<1%
Francia 16.0%
España 15.3%
Inglaterra 11.1%
Argentina 8.6%
$953,302,448 Vol.
$953,302,448 Vol.
Francia
16%
España
15%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Turquía
1%
Austria
1%
Suecia
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Haití
<1%
Irán
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner reflects a tightly contested field, with France edging Spain at 16% and 15.3% implied probabilities amid recent injury blows to key stars across top contenders. Spain faces uncertainty over Lamine Yamal's fitness after he was ruled out for the club season's remainder, while Brazil loses Rodrygo to a cruciate ligament tear, England misses Jack Grealish with a stress fracture, and France copes without Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles injury—highlighting squad depth as pivotal in the expanded 48-team format. All nations qualified post-March international window results, and the group draw separates FIFA top-ranked sides like Spain, Argentina, France, and England until semifinals, fostering competitive knockout paths and minimal home advantage for hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico. Recent friendlies showed mixed form, underscoring upset potential in group stage advancement and beyond.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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