Mercedes' George Russell holds the edge in trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, ahead of teammate Kimi Antonelli at 31.4%, reflecting the Silver Arrows' dominant W17 package that has delivered three wins from the opening Grand Prix trio—Aussie GP victory for Russell, followed by Antonelli's back-to-back triumphs in China and Japan. Antonelli leads the driver standings 72-63 entering Miami, buoyed by superior race pace and average finishes of 1.33, but Russell's qualifying head-to-head advantage (22-5) and experience in multi-race campaigns temper enthusiasm for the 20-year-old rookie amid a long 22-race calendar. Ferrari's Leclerc (6.6%) and McLaren's Piastri trail due to inconsistent podiums, while Red Bull's Verstappen languishes at 3.4% on weaker constructor pace.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGeorge Russell 42%
Kimi Antonelli 31.4%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 6.6%
Oscar Piastri 5.0%
$138,247,451 Vol.
$138,247,451 Vol.
George Russell
42%
Kimi Antonelli
31%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
5%
Lando Norris
4%
Max Verstappen
3%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
George Russell 42%
Kimi Antonelli 31.4%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc 6.6%
Oscar Piastri 5.0%
$138,247,451 Vol.
$138,247,451 Vol.
George Russell
42%
Kimi Antonelli
31%
Título del elemento de grupo: Charles Leclerc
7%
Oscar Piastri
5%
Lewis Hamilton
5%
Lando Norris
4%
Max Verstappen
3%
Título del ítem del grupo: Alexander Albon
<1%
Título del grupo: Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Oliver Bearman
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' George Russell holds the edge in trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability for the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship, ahead of teammate Kimi Antonelli at 31.4%, reflecting the Silver Arrows' dominant W17 package that has delivered three wins from the opening Grand Prix trio—Aussie GP victory for Russell, followed by Antonelli's back-to-back triumphs in China and Japan. Antonelli leads the driver standings 72-63 entering Miami, buoyed by superior race pace and average finishes of 1.33, but Russell's qualifying head-to-head advantage (22-5) and experience in multi-race campaigns temper enthusiasm for the 20-year-old rookie amid a long 22-race calendar. Ferrari's Leclerc (6.6%) and McLaren's Piastri trail due to inconsistent podiums, while Red Bull's Verstappen languishes at 3.4% on weaker constructor pace.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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